Golden Globe Predictions!

golden

BEST MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
12 Years A Slave
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Philomena
Rush

This is 12 Years A Slave vs. Gravity, and since Hollywood Foreign Press completely snubbed The Butler, they clearly aren’t totally taken with stories focused on civil rights in America.  I think they’ll go for the more internationally flavoured Gravity.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr Banks
Kate Winslet, Labor Day

Bullock vs. Blanchett. Blanchett needs this to cement her Oscar frontrunner status. If the charming Bullock wins here, she’ll give another lovely acceptance speech that’ll make people check her name off on the Oscar ballot too.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – DRAMA
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years A Slave
Idris Elba, Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club
Robert Redford, All Is Lost

Look for McConaughey to triumph here. He’s gained nice momentum through the run-up to the big shows, and he’s a big star that the Globes love.

BEST MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
American Hustle
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
The Wolf Of Wall Street

A great category with a clear winner. American Hustle is the nomination leader.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
Greta Gerwig, Francis Ha
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Can Amy Adams really top Meryl? I think it really depends on how much they love American Hustle, but I’m gonna go out on a limb and say it’ll happen. 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MOTION PICTURE – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf Of Wall Street
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Joaquin Phoenix, Her

Dern has a lot of buzz, but it’s hard to deny the big movie star Leo giving a towering performance.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Frozen

A no brainer.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Blue Is The Warmest Color  (France)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt  (Denmark)
The Past  (Iran)
The Wind Rises (Japan)

Another no brainer.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years A Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska

Nyong’o could win this as the new hot thing, but I can’t see the HFPA passing up the chance to have Lawrence give another bubbling, memorable speech.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A MOTION PICTURE
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Daniel Bruhl, Rush
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years A Slave
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Great category, and it’s close between Leto and Fassbender, but I think the power of Leto’s work will take him across the finish line.

BEST DIRECTOR – MOTION PICTURE
Alfonso Cuaron, Gravity
Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Steve McQueen, 12 Years A Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle

Another close category, but the innovation of Cuaron’s work will tip the scale.

BEST SCREENPLAY – MOTION PICTURE
Spike Jonze, Her
Bob Nelson, Nebraska
Jeff Pope & Steve Coogan, Philomena
John Ridley, 12 Years A Slave
Eric Warren Singer & David O Russell, American Hustle

American Hustle has a memorable screenplay, but this might be the place to award 12 Years A Slave. 

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – MOTION PICTURE
Alex Ebert, All Is Lost
Alex Heffes, Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
Steven Price, Gravity
John Williams, The Book Thief
Hans Zimmer, 12 Years A Slave

BEST ORIGINAL SONG – MOTION PICTURE
“Atlas”, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
“Let It Go”, Frozen
“Ordinary Love”, Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom
“Please Mr Kennedy”, Inside Llewyn Davis
“Sweeter Than Fiction”, One Chance

“Let It Go” seems destined for the Oscar, but the Globes love their big music stars in this category. They could choose Swift, Coldplay, or Justin Timberlake, but I think Bono and the Edge will be too impossible to resist.

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Breaking Bad 
Downton Abbey
The Good Wife
House Of Cards
Masters Of Sex

What a category. The Globes like to go with what’s fresh and new, and you could make an argument for The Good Wife, House Of Cards, and Masters Of Sex, but Breaking Bad has never won a Globe so I think they’ll finally honour it.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black
Taylor Schilling, Orange Is The New Black
Kerry Washington, Scandal
Robin Wright, House Of Cards

Scandal might be in season 3, but the Globes get to be the first major award show to give Kerry an award. They won’t pass that chance up.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – DRAMA
Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Liev Schreiber, Ray Donovan
Michael Sheen, Masters Of Sex
Kevin Spacey, House Of Cards
James Spader, The Blacklist

He might not be new, but the buzz is still all about Cranston. 

BEST TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
The Big Bang Theory
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 
Girls
Modern Family
Parks & Recreation

You’d be surprised to know that Modern Family has only won this award once, but their time has passed. There’s talk that The Big Bang Theory could finally win, but the Globes like new, and Brooklyn Nine-Nine is exactly the kind of great, under-the-radar show that the Globes love to elevate. 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
Lena Dunham, Girls
Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Amy Poehler, Parks & Recreation

While she’s finally become an Emmy darling, the Globes have never shown a ton of love for JLD. She only won for Seinfeld once, never won for The New Adventures of Old Christine, and hasn’t won yet for Veep.  With her nomination for Enough Said as well, Julia is set to win her first Golden Globe in 20 years. 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A TELEVISION SERIES – COMEDY OR MUSICAL
Jason Bateman, Arrested Development
Don Cheadle, House Of Lies
Michael J. Fox, The Michael J. Fox Show
Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
Andy Samberg, Brooklyn Nine-Nine

Better award MJF now in case this show isn’t on the air next year.

BEST MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
American Horror Story: Coven
Behind The Candelabra
Dancing On The Edge
Top Of The Lake
White Queen

Its award domination continues. 

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Helena Bonham Carter, Burton & Taylor
Rebecca Ferguson, The White Queen,
Jessica Lange, American Horror Story: Coven
Helen Mirren, Phil Spector
Elisabeth Moss, Top of the Lake

Lange could win, but I think they’ll go for the Brit playing a Hollywood legend.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Matt Damon, Behind The Candelabra
Michael Douglas, Behind the Candelabra
Chiwetel Ejiofor, Dancing On The Edge
Idris Elba, Luther
Al Pacino, Phil Spector

Elba has already won for this role, Damon should win, but Douglas can’t be ignored.

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Jacqueline Bisset, Dancing On The Edge
Janet McTeer, White Queen
Hayden Panettiere, Nashville
Monica Potter, Parenthood
Sofia Vergara, Modern Family

They keep nominating her every year for some reason, and given her competition, she might finally win. It’s rare for someone to win a Globe 5 seasons in, but other than Potter, I just don’t see who could be Vergara.  

BEST PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE IN A SERIES, MINI-SERIES OR MOTION PICTURE MADE FOR TELEVISION
Josh Charles, The Good Wife
Rob Lowe, Behind the Candelabra
Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
Corey Stoll, House Of Cards
Jon Voight, Ray Donovan

Literally everyone has a chance to win here. I think they’ll use this category to show their love for The Good Wife.


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